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Manifest ~Talk 2025
"10 Things I would do if I ran <Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus>"
Jun 29
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Lucas
2
Adjacent News Weekly Roundup
6/27/25
Jun 27
•
Lucas
1
Adjacent News Weekly Roundup
6/6/25
Jun 6
•
Lucas
1
May 2025
Adjacent News Weekly Roundup
5/30/25
May 30
•
Lucas
1
Another Kalshi Exchange Halt
and the US-Iran Nuclear Deal Likelihood Index
May 9
•
Lucas
April 2025
Exploring Kalshi's Exchange Halt
on april 29th Kalshi unexpectedly halted their exchange for an hour
Apr 30
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Lucas
4/4/25 Products and Betas
markets and agents
Apr 4
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Lucas
March 2025
In Defense of Play Money Markets
markets for experimentation
Mar 5
•
Lucas
8
5
February 2025
10 things I would do if I lead strategy/product at Polymarket
$POLY, indexes, and more instruments
Feb 9
•
Lucas
9
3
January 2025
2025 Underrated X Accounts
who I am focusing on following
Jan 20
•
Lucas
2
1
December 2024
12/31/24 Assorted Links
insurance, prediction markets + greenland
Dec 31, 2024
•
Lucas
12/30/24 Products and Betas
reading, writing, and health
Dec 30, 2024
•
Lucas
2
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