12/31/24 Assorted Links

insurance, prediction markets + greenland

1. When is Insurance Worth It? - kelly and insurance

2. Notes on China

3. Professor Boring and his Fantabulous Scan-traption–and why I’m not a Systems Trader

4. A Field Experimental Test of Vote Swapping

5. The Case for Greenland - and Will Trump Buy Greenland on Kalshi

6. Prediction Markets, the True Value of the Revolving Door, and the US Cabinet - how stock prices shift with cabinet appointment changes in prediction markets (predicit)